Note though that Illinois will be rooting for Rutgers, Florida and Middle Tennessee in those games, because if they do, Illinois will rise in the five-win APR pecking order.Ĭonfused? Yeah, it’s a bit complicated with a lot of moving parts.īut in its simplest terms, Illinois needs as many five-win teams to lose as possible as well as Texas, and, again, it’d be rooting for Rutgers, Florida and Middle Tennessee to win against their fellow five-win opponent because Illinois would then rise on the five-win APR ranking. There are 16 five-win teams that could clinch a bowl this weekend, and at least four more spots will be clinched as there are four games this week pitting five-win teams against each other: Florida State-Florida, Maryland-Rutgers, Charlotte-Old Dominion and Florida Atlantic-Middle Tennessee. Illinois cannot pass five-win teams Middle Tennessee, Memphis, Rutgers or Florida in the APR ranking, meaning if six other spots are clinched with sixth wins, the Illini will be out of luck. So far, 72 of 82 bowl slots have been clinched, leaving 10 spots available. If Illinois reaches five wins, it would currently be sixth in the APR five-win pecking order, though Texas (four wins) could pass up Illinois if it defeats Kansas State on Friday. If any spots are unfilled with six-win teams, the NCAA then ranks the teams in order of Academic Progress Rate (APR), a team-based academic metric. If Illinois beats Northwestern (3-8, 1-7 Big Ten), the Illini could earn a spot in a bowl game if enough of the 82 bowl bids are not filled automatically with six-win teams - and if they get some games to fall their way this weekend. But its bowl hopes are not quite dead yet - though they are on life support. After its loss on Saturday at Iowa, Illinois (4-7, 3-5 Big Ten) is guaranteed a losing season and cannot clinch bowl eligibility.
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